Trump’s popularity is increasing day by day
President Donald Trump’s prospects of winning the presidency again have soared as the 2024 election season heats up.
Trump’s lead over his closest primary rival has increased by more than 20 points since January, even as more Republican presidential hopefuls continue to join the fray.
Twenty-one percent of respondents favored a candidate other than Trump or DeSantis, while nine percent were unsure.
The 45th president had a seven-point edge against Biden in the rustbelt states of Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. These states were essential in helping Trump win his historic election over Hillary Clinton in 2016. (45 to 38 percent).
In the meantime, according to the poll Trump had shared to his account on Truth Social, DeSantis fell short of Biden in the Rust Belt by four points (38 percent to 34 percent).
Even though a lot may happen between now and the Iowa caucuses in 2020, DeSantis’s higher polling tendencies for Trump seem to be too much for him to handle. According to Harvard-Harris polling data, Trump has increased his support by an average of 6% each month since January while DeSantis has decreased his support by an average of 4% each month.
DeSantis would also need to win every other swing state plus more if his performance in the Rust Belt remains the same and he loses Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota in order to defeat Biden in 2024.
DeSantis would need to hold all of the states that Trump won in 2020, flip Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada, and then take out a blue state like Maine, New Hampshire, or Virginia to win; otherwise, Biden would keep his position as vice president.
Trump could lose all of the sunbelt states and still win the election if he wins three of the four states of Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, or Wisconsin if he kept all of the states he won in 2020. Trump could win the Electoral College with just one additional Sunbelt state if he lost two Rustbelt states.