Former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden by 9 points in the swing state of Pennsylvania, according to a new poll by Emerson College.
The poll found that 45% of Pennsylvania voters said they would vote for Trump if the election were held today, while 36% said they would vote for Biden. Another 11% said they would vote for someone else, and 8% were undecided.
Trump has a significant lead among white voters in Pennsylvania, with 56% of white voters saying they would vote for him compared to 32% who said they would vote for Biden. Biden has a lead among black and Hispanic voters in the state, but Trump’s lead among white voters is more than enough to offset that advantage.
For Trump to win Pennsylvania again in 2024 would be a big boost to his White House ambition.
Emerson College polls show former President Donald Trump leading Joe Biden by 9 points in Pennsylvania, a battleground state. In a hypothetical election, 45% of Pennsylvania voters would vote for Trump and 36% for Biden, according to the survey. Another 11% would vote for someone else, while 8% were unsure.
The poll also revealed that 56% of Pennsylvania white voters would vote for Trump, compared to 32% for Biden. The state’s black and Hispanic voters favor Biden, but Trump’s white margin more than offsets that.
The survey confirms previous recent polls showing Trump topping Biden in Pennsylvania. Trump leads Biden 47% to 45% among Pennsylvania voters, according to a Susquehanna Polling & Research poll issued this week.
Pennsylvania is a critical 2024 presidential swing state. Biden reclaimed the state in 2020 after Trump narrowly won it in 2016. For Trump to win Pennsylvania again in 2024 would be a big boost to his White House ambition.
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What does this imply for Biden?
The poll findings are concerning for Biden, who has struggled to maintain favor since assuming office. Biden’s support rating has remained below 50% for most of his administration, and Democrats and Republicans have criticized him for the economy, inflation, and Ukraine conflict.
If Biden fails to improve, Trump might challenge him in Pennsylvania and other swing states in 2024. If Biden wants to be re-elected, he must improve his approval ratings and address voter concerns.
What does this signify for Trump?
Trump, who has hinted at a 2024 presidential run, is encouraged by the survey results. Trump is still popular with Republicans and has been campaigning in battleground areas like Pennsylvania.
Any Democrat will have a strong opponent if Trump runs again in 2024. Trump is a talented campaigner with white working-class backing.
The survey was taken before the January 6th Committee report, which claimed Trump was personally culpable for the US Capitol assault. The study may hurt Trump’s popularity, but its influence on the 2024 election is unknown.