Haley’s Support Shrinks as Trump’s Grows in South Carolina: Is She in Trouble?
Prior to the 2024 GOP primaries, President Trump’s polling numbers have risen despite his two indictments and ongoing unfavorable coverage in the mainstream media.
In South Carolina, the third state for the GOP primary cycle, Trump has seen an increase in support of 3% since May, while former governor Nikki Haley has seen an increase of 3% since last month.
According to the most recent National Public Affairs poll, Republicans in the state support the 45th president with 41%, while Ron DeSantis, governor of Florida, came in second with 18%.
Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina came in second with 10%, Nikki Haley came in third with 12%, and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie came in fifth with 5%.
Former vice president Mike Pence, entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, and former governor of Arkansas Asa Hutchinson all garnered two percent of the vote, compared to just one percent for North Dakota governor Doug Burgum.
Over a third of state residents who were 809 probable primary voters said they were more likely to support Trump as a result of the indictment, while 40% said it would not have an impact on their choice.
However, more than half of the voters in the state said Trump handled classified materials correctly, and another 13 percent thought it was “not a big deal.”
Although it is anticipated that the Republican candidate would win South Carolina’s nine electoral votes in the general election, the state’s 50 primary delegates are crucial to the success of the party’s final winner.
Every GOP nominee since 1976 (with the exception of 2012) has won the South Carolina primary, which is evidence of their success.
Trump won the state’s primary in 2016 with 32.5 percent of the vote, which helped him advance to the party’s nominee and eventually the White House. He is already holding a larger advantage than he had in 2016 according to his early 2024 leads.
On February 24, 2024, the South Carolina GOP primary elections are scheduled to take place. It comes after Iowa and New Hampshire, where Trump has likewise topped pre-election polling, as the third primary state.
South Carolina has traditionally been the fourth state of the Democratic primary cycle. To make the state their first for the 2024 primary cycle, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) altered the rules earlier this year.
Democrats Marianne Williamson and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. are predicted to receive more support in Iowa, New Hampshire, and Nevada, but an early victory for Biden in a state like South Carolina might hamper their primary campaign.
It’s rumored that the DNC moved the state’s primary date as yet another effort to make it simple for the unpopular Biden to win re-nomination. However, the DNC stated earlier this year that they would all support Biden and would forgo any primary debates.
On February 3, 2024, the South Carolina Democratic primary elections will be held.